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If leave had been defined during the referendum, remain would have won

Defining ‘leave’ before the referendum would have ensured a remain win, says Hywel Davies, who is a partner at Cyfreithwyr Llys Cennen Solicitors and helps his parents run the Aman flock of pedigree Texel sheep, the Champion Flock of Wales.

Isn’t it striking that the best arguments against Brexit are given by Brexiteers.

 

If you want to know what’s wrong with the No Deal, Common Market 2.0 or Withdrawal Agreement options, listen to Brexiteer MPs from the other two camps – they give devastating critiques.

 

As I write, the Labour policy of constructive ambiguity on Brexit is backfiring in the local elections.

 

Not brexity enough for the North, not remainy enough for the South.

 

As I watch the fall out, the Lib Dems and Greens are on the march, and commentators are without irony suggesting this is because the two main parties should just get on with Brexit.

 

Mess

 

I’m starting to realise just how we got into this mess.

 

The referendum was a false dichotomy, a binary question when there were multiple choices.

 

Eurosceptics had been desperate to make it in/out for a simple reason; the leave vote is, and always was, split.

 

The trick was to get Common Market exponents, no-deal advocates, the disaffected, protest voters, antiestablishmentarians, British/English Nationalists and Marxists all to vote together.

 

The current farce is not a failure of political will, or a reflection on politicians, it’s the consequence of that rag tag coalition falling apart again once the count was in.

 

Defined

 

If leave had been defined, or a choice of leave options set out, no single option would have beaten remain.

 

Facing up to that must be the first step in sorting this out. Respecting the result means not being wilfully blind to its bare arse.

 

Voters have subtle ways of giving these messages and the Euro elections in a couple of weeks should be fascinating.

 

What did we argue about before Brexit? Estimated Breeding Values (EBVs). We’ve weighed the lambs for their 8-week scores.

 

The Texel Society have taken recording in house. Ultrasound scanning is done at 40kg rather than at 21 weeks to reflect the target weight for butchers’ lambs.

 

Index

 

Traits are being assessed differently. The index is being rebased from the 1990 average to the 2010 average.

 

All together this will rewrite the EBVs of the entire flockbook, dead or alive, and reinforces notion that EBVs are an answer, looking for a question.

 

That reference point in 1990 came from the loudly touted but ultimately doomed Sire Reference Schemes.

 

Farmers were told 1992 was a date when the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) would be reformed and farming subsidies may end.

 

Change

 

We had to change the way we farmed. The world didn’t end.

 

When John Major was fighting his Maastricht Rebels, scheme members had to use rams selected centrally on a proportion of their flocks.

 

They paid in to see free movement of genetics, but lost sovereignty over tupping decisions.

 

No wonder it couldn’t last.

 

Hywel can be found tweeting at @DefaidTexel


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