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General Election 2015: Conservatives' stunning election victory - what it means for farming

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The Conservatives enjoyed a stunning election night, with David Cameron returning to Downing Street with an overall majority, an outcome that defied the pollsters and has significant implications for farming.

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David Cameron is heading back to Downing Street
David Cameron is heading back to Downing Street

David Cameron is heading back to Downing Street with an overall majority, after a stunning election night for the Conservatives.

 

In an outcome that confounded all the polls heading into the election predicting a close race and some sort of coalition Government, Mr Cameron’s Conservatives made huge gains, winning enough seats to govern alone. By Friday lunch-time it was confirmed had reach the magic figure of 326 seats to secure and overall majority.

 

The final results was:

  • Conservatives 331
  • Labour 232
  • SNP 56
  • Lib Dems 8
  • UKIP 1
  • Plaid Cymru 3
  • Green 1
  • DUP 8
  • Others 10

The Conservatives are expected to get a 37 per cent share of the national vote, Labour 31 per cent, UKIP 13 per cent, the Liberal Democrats 8 per cent, the SNP 5 per cent, the Green Party 4 per cent and Plaid Cymru 1 per cent.

 

The latest results can be seen here

 

Labour, and the Liberal Democrats, which was virtually wiped out after winning 56 seats in the last election, had dreadful nights, while the other big winner were the Scottish National Party, which virtually swept the board in Scotland, obliterating Labour in a former heartland.

 

The Greens and UKIP did not make the gains they were hoping for.

 

Labour leader Ed Miliband, Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and UKIP leader Nigel Farage have all resigned. Labour’s night was compounded by the loss of Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls’ seat.

 

Nobody had predicted an outright victory for the Conservatives, after virtually all the polls in the immediate run up to the vote had Labour and Conservatives neck and neck. In his victory speech after returning from Buckingham Palace, Mr Cameron said the Conservatives would ’govern as a party of one nation’ and promised to deliver devolution to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

 

He said the Government, free from the compromise of coalition, would deliver all its manifesto pledges, including an in-out referendum on Europe.

 

Among the seats won by the Conservatives was that of Farming Minister George Eustice, who massively increased his wafer thin majority of 2010, while Defra Secretary Liz Truss retained her Norfolk seat.

 

But their former Defra colleague, Liberal Democrat, Dan Rogerson, lost his Cornwall seat, as did Andrew George, who campaigned for many years in Parliament to establish the Groceries Adjudicator, as the party lost all its seats in its former South West stronghold.

 

High profile Liberal Democrat Cumbrian MP Tim Farron, a vocal campaigner for farmers, was one of the few Liberal Democrats to retain their seat and is now a strong contender to lead the party.

 

Huw Irranca-Davies and Maria Eagle, part of the Shadow Defra team, won their seats.

What does it mean for farming?

A huge amount was riding on the outcome of this election as far as farming was concerned, with the main parties adopting fundamentally different stances on some key issues.

 

You can read the Conservative manifesto here, our summary of the key points for farming here, and our interview with Liz Truss, Defra Secretary prior to the election, here

 

Bovine TB: For many farmers, the most significant policy difference between the two main parties ahead of the election was on bovine TB, with the Conservatives pledging to push ahead with its 25-year TB Eradication Strategy, including badger culling in areas where disease is rife.

 

The Conservative victory would appear to secure the continuation of the pilots culls in Somerset and Gloucestershire, which Labour had pledged to scrap, and the roll out of culling to new areas.

 

In an interview with Farmers Guardian prior to the election, Mrs Truss pledged the Conservatives would roll out badger culling to new areas as part of the Government’s long-term TB eradication strategy, insisting the pilots showed culling to be ‘effective, humane and safe’.

 

One immediate question, however, is whether there will be sufficient time to licence and prepare new areas to start later this year. It might also be significant that the Conservative will be governing alone, after Liberal Democrat MPs made much of their efforts to put a brake on Conservative plans for a badger during the last Parliament.

 

Red tape: The Conservatives have also pledged to continue the drive to cut red tape on farms, including the establishment of a single body to co-ordinate farm inspections. Mrs Truss said the Farm Inspection Task Force would help ‘liberate farmers from red tape by coordinating all visits’.

 

“Rather than having to deal with Natural England, the RPA, APHA and local authorities, farmers will be dealing with a single agency that would them and make us more efficient as we will avoid duplication,” she said.

 

British food and farming: The Conservative manifesto promised a 25-year plan to ‘champion farmers and food producers’ and enable the industry to produce more British food, including the establishment of a Great British Food Unit to help trademark and promote local foods at home and abroad. Mrs Truss said farming was central to the Conservatives’ plans for economic and was seen as a ’major area for jobs and growth’.

 

Europe and CAP: But it is on Europe that potentially the biggest implications will be seen for farmers. Mr Cameron has pledged to try and re-negotiate the UK’s relationship with Europe before holding a referendum in 2017 giving the UK public a say on the UK’s membership of the UK.

 

While farmers might welcome any progress Mr Cameron could make on easing the regulatory burden from Europe, the prospect of a referendum raises profound questions for farmers, notably over the future of the Common Agricultural Policy and access to the single market.

 

As part of the UK’s re-negotiation the UK would push for a reduction in red tape and a ‘more scientific approach’ to regulation on policy areas like GM and pesticides, with the UK having a greater say in these areas, Mrs Truss said.

 

But she refused to speculate on the implications for farmers of leaving the EU. “I don’t want to leave. We want to stay in a reformed Europe,” she said.

 

Mrs Truss said the Conservatives were keen to press for further simplification of the CAP and longer-term reform but stressed it did not want to disadvantage farmers in the process.

 

Defra and its budget: There is the stark prospect of further cuts to the Defra budget, as a Conservative Government committed to further austerity to bring down the deficits commences its second term. While Mrs Truss said further savings could be made from increased efficiency within the Department, this will raise further questions about funding in keys areas like animal health and Defra’s ability to cope with emergencies like disease outbreaks.

 

There will also be questions about how the Department will be structured under the new Conservative Government and whether it will remain in its current form. “I am making all my plans on the basis Defra will continue as is. I think it’s doable to make more savings from our budget,” Mrs Truss said.

 

David Cameron is unlikely to wait for long to appoint his new Ministerial team. The industry will wait to see whether Liz Truss and George Eustice return in their current roles of Defra Secretary and Farming Minister.

 

BPS: Aside from the big policy issues, an immediate priority for the new Defra team will be to ensure the Basic Payment Scheme is delivered as smoothly as possible, after all the recent problems. NFU vice president Guy Smith said it was vital sufficient resource was provided to enable the Rural Payments Agency to process the applications, mainly delivered by paper, to facilitate timely delivery of payments.

Reaction

NFU president Meurig Raymond said: “It looks as if there is going to be a stable Government and it will be important that we have a Secretary of State at Defra who will follow through their manifesto promises.

 

“We want that person to champion British food and farming because it is no better way to grow the rural economy. I look forward to meeting the new Secretary of State and Ministers at the earliest opportunity."

 

“Central to the new Government’s goals will be an ambitious plan for ‘British farming with plans to grow more, buy more and sell more British food at home and abroad’. The NFU and farmers share this ambition. We have already argued strongly that we need such a plan to reverse long- term declines in farming productivity and the nation’s self-sufficiency. So we are eager to begin working as soon as possible with the Secretary of State to begin this task.

 

“The government must also ensure that focus is kept on fixing problems and issues surrounding BPS and its foot is kept on the pedal because with just weeks to go until the crucial June 15deadline, time is running out.

 

 

“We are also urging the Government to make an announcement as soon as possible on further roll-out of badger culling to areas where TB in endemic and to implement the 25-year TB Eradication Strategy in full as quickly as possible.”

 

CLA President Henry Robinson said his organisation would seek to ensure the new Conservative Government was clear about the implications for the rural economy of its policy on Europe that is likely to culminate in a referendum on EU membership in 2017.

 

He said: "We now expect there to be a referendum on UK membership of the EU before the end of 2017. Our priority is to ensure Government is clear about the implications of any change in the UK’s relationship with the EU for the rural economy. It is vital that businesses have confidence that all eventualities are being planned for, so as to prevent uncertainty hampering investment, job creation and growth.”

 

“Following five years in Government, we expect Ministers appointed with responsibility for rural affairs to demonstrate a strong understanding of the unique issues our members face.

 

"We will be pressing for the party to keep the promises it made to the countryside and to rural businesses during the election campaign, such as a major business rates review, boosting British food exports, and cutting farm inspection red tape."

 

“We have made good progress recently towards vital policy improvements such as reform of the compulsory purchase system and delivery of reliable and effective rural broadband. The Government must maintain momentum in these important policy areas."

 

NFU Scotland president Allan Bowie said the election has signalled a significant shift in politics in Scotland and claimed their is ’unfinished business’ to resolve over Scotland’s share of the CAP budget.

 

“With a majority Conservative vote, it will be important that the government is seen to listen and deliver on the needs of farmers in Scotland, and for MPs across the UK to come together and secure the best future for our industry.

 

“There remains unfinished business on the issue of budget convergence. There had been strong commitment from two former Defra ministers to address this issue after the election to ensure budget imbalance to Scotland is readdressed, and Single Farm Payment rates have parity across the UK.

“The discussion will now begin on when to have an EU referendum as set out in the party’s manifesto. Clearly the issue of European Union membership is of huge importance to farmers in Scotland.

 

“Currently, the case is in favour of being part of the EU. Scottish farming currently receives millions of pounds in support from the EU each year via the CAP. Without this vital support, many Scottish farms would no longer be viable. In addition, the European export market is important for Scottish agriculture. If we were to exit the EU, Scottish producers would still have to comply with EU rules if we wanted to access these markets."

 

Chris Mallon, chief executive of the National Beef Association welcomed the return to power of a party prepared to control badgers to tackle bovine TB (bTB).

 

He said:“The Conservatives are the party that have brought in the cull to reduce the reservoir of TB in Wildlife. They have always been supporters of it, so let us hope that this continues.

 

"We welcome the stability and that fact that we will very quickly have a government in place to carry out the policies necessary to strengthen the Beef and wider agricultural industry here in the UK.”

 

Roger Kerr, chief executive of organic certifier OF&G, said: "We sincerely hope ministers in the new Conservative government will work hard to ensure the needs and concerns of our licensees are met.

 

"For the food and farming sectors as a whole we now expect the government to fulfil the pledges it made during the election campaign - such as cutting red tape and developing markets for British food and improving the natural environment, something which organic farming will help deliver.

 

"For the organic sector in particular, it is vital that our producers are given proper support so that consumers continue to have a choice when food shopping in the UK.

 

"To achieve this we will be pushing the government to think carefully about the implications of introducing GM crop technology into the UK to ensure adequate legal protection is given to British farmers who produce non-GM food."

 

 

How did some of the key seats for farming turn out?

How did some of the key seats for farming turn out?

The NFU's political team kept an eye on the key rural/farming seats on Twitter. Here are some of the key results (with the most recently declared first): 

 

St. Ives - final seat to declare - Conservative gain by Derek Thomas from GCA instigator Andrew George

 

Berwick-upon-Tweed has been won by Conservative Anne-Marie Trevelyan from Lib Dems. farmers daughter

 

Hexham - held by Guy Opperman a great advocate for this rural seat

 

Conservative majority confirmed with winning seat 326, the Cotswolds, for farmer Geoffrey Clifton-Brown

 

Devon Central - farming advocate, Mel Stride holds this rural agricultural seat

 

Wells - Conservative wins this marginal seat from LD Tessa Munt 5

 

South Down NI - EFRA committee member holds for the SDLP

 

Devon West & Torridge - Geoffrey Cox holds and means Conservatives reach 323 seats, which is a working majority (without Sinn Fein)

 

 

Tyneside North & EFRA committee member holds seat with 5% increase.

 

Thanet South - UKIP's Nigel Farage not elected ,

 

Exeter - ex Defra Minister increases his Labour majority by 8%

 

Broadland increases vote by 4.3% against a 12% increased UKIP vote for farmer Stuart Agnew a

 

Cornwall SE, EFRA committee member increases majority

 

Julian Sturdy, farmer and driving force behind the Control of Horses Act, is re-elected in York Outer for the Conservatives

 
Elizabeth Truss, DEFRA Secretary of State has held South West Norfolk for the Conservatives
 
Neil Parish, farmer and EFRA committee member has been returned as Conservative MP for Tiverton and Honiton
 

Former NFU staff member Rebecca Pow wins Taunton Deane for the Conservatives

  

St. Austell & Newquay takes the seat from Lib Dems

 

Louth and Horncastle returns new MP Victoria Atkins who has shown great interest in agricultural and horticultural issues

 

Congleton - Fiona Bruce increases Cons majority in this important dairy farming area

 

Rob Marris ex lumberjack (in Canada) wins back Wolverhampton SW for Labour

 
Chris Williamson narrowly loses out by 41 votes to Cons in Derby North
 

Farmer and EFRA committee member Richard Drax has been re-elected in South Dorset for the Conservatives

 

Shadow DEFRA Minister Angela Smith holds Penistone and Stockbridge for Labour

 

Farmer Mark Spencer holds Sherwood for the Conservatives

 
Liberal Democrat DEFRA Minister Dan Rogerson loses his North Cornwall seat to the Conservatives
  

Conservatives gain Somerton and Frome. Former DEFRA Minister David Heath stood down

 

George Freeman MP, former NFU lobbyist and Minister for Life Sciences has been re-elected in Mid Norfolk

 

Farmer and former DEFRA minister, Richard Benyon is re-elected in Newbury for the Conservatives

 

Antoinette Sandbach, Shadow Rural Affairs Minister in the Welsh Assembly, holds Eddisbury for the Conservatives

 

Farmer and Conservative MP Bill Wiggin increases his majority in North Herefordshire

 

Jim Fitzpatrick, EFRA Committee member and former DEFRA minister has been re-elected in Poplar and Limehouse for Labour

 

DEFRA Minister and farmer George Eustice has held Camborne and Redruth

 

Huw Irranca-Davies, shadow Food and Farming minister, re-elected in Ogmore

 

Simon Hart has been re-elected in Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire for the Conservative Party

 

Maria Eagle, Shadow DEFRA Secretary of State, holds Garston and Halewood for Labour

 

Labour's Albert Owen, champion of the Groceries Code Adjudicator, holds Ynys Mon - a three way marginal

 

Daniel Kawczynski, founder of the Dairy Farming APPG, holds Shrewsbury and Atcham for the Conservative party

 

Owen Paterson, former DEFRA Secretary of State, holds North Shropshire for the Conservatives

 

Tim Farron, chair of APPG for Hill farming in last parliament, holds Westmorland and Lonsdale for the Liberal Democrats

 

Conservatives hold North Warwickshire - the most marginal rural seat
 

Worcester is a Conservative hold for Robin Walker - PPS to Liz Truss last Parliament and son of former MAFF minister

 

Conservative Glyn Davies, a farmer, holds Montgomeryshire

 

Key Welsh seat of Brecon and Radnorshire is a Conservative gain from the Liberal Democrats  Roger Williams, outgoing MP in Brecon and Radnorshire, is a farmer and has been a firm friend of the industry in Parliament

  

Member of , , has held her seat in South Shields

 

Ceredigion - Lib Dem Mark Williams holds his rural West Wales seat over Plaid Cymru .

 

  • Among the prominent farming MPs who did not contest seats and have left Parliament are: Former Farming Minister Sir Jim Paice, veteran Liberal Democrat farm spokesman, member of EFRA committee and farmer Roger Williams and Anne McIntosh, chair of the EFRA committee in the last Parliament. 
  • There were a number of high profile defeats among party 'big beasts', including former Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls, Labour's leader in Scotland Jim Murphy, Shadow Foreign Secretary Douglas Alexander (Lab), Vince Cable, Liberal Democrat Business Secretary and fellow Liberal Democrat Shadow Ministers Ed Davey and Douglas Alexander, while Nigel Farage failed to won Thanet South for UKIP.
  • Among those coming into Parliament was London Mayor Boris Johnson, who will no doubt feature prominently in the next Parliament.   

 

The manifestos - where the parties stand on the big farming issues

Before the election, we summarised where the main parties stand on the big issues affecting farming and the countryside.

Party election chart

If you want to view the manifestos in more depth:

 

Conservatives: See the manifesto here, our summary here and our interview with Liz Truss here

 

Labour: See the main manifesto here, the rural manifesto here, our summary here and our interview with Huw Irranca-Davies here

 

Liberal Democrats: See the manifesto here and our summary here

 

UKIP: See the manifesto here and our summary here

 

Green Party:  See the manifesto here and our summary here

 

Plaid Cymru: See the main manifesto and the farming manifesto here and our summary here

 

SNP: See the manifesto here

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